------------------------------------------------------------------------ SST-Fixed Radiative Forcing (W/m2) Positive Forcings ----------------------------------------------------------------- Year GHGs BC O3 solar snow H2O ----------------------------------------------------------------- 1850 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 1851 -.001 .001 .001 -.007 .001 .000 1852 -.001 .003 .002 -.028 .002 .000 1853 .000 .004 .004 -.048 .003 .000 1854 -.001 .006 .005 -.064 .004 .000 1855 .005 .007 .006 -.071 .005 .000 1856 .013 .009 .007 -.065 .006 .000 1857 .019 .010 .008 -.045 .006 .001 1858 .027 .012 .009 -.015 .007 .001 1859 .033 .013 .011 .016 .008 .001 1860 .041 .015 .012 .024 .009 .001 1861 .047 .016 .013 .006 .010 .001 1862 .051 .018 .014 -.020 .011 .001 1863 .055 .019 .015 -.039 .012 .001 1864 .058 .021 .017 -.056 .013 .001 1865 .062 .022 .018 -.072 .014 .001 1866 .066 .024 .019 -.082 .015 .001 1867 .070 .025 .020 -.089 .016 .001 1868 .076 .027 .021 -.066 .017 .002 1869 .079 .028 .022 -.030 .018 .002 1870 .086 .030 .024 .005 .018 .002 1871 .091 .031 .025 -.001 .019 .002 1872 .095 .033 .026 -.008 .020 .002 1873 .101 .034 .027 -.038 .021 .002 1874 .107 .036 .028 -.062 .022 .002 1875 .113 .037 .030 -.089 .023 .002 1876 .117 .041 .031 -.099 .024 .002 1877 .122 .044 .032 -.096 .025 .002 1878 .137 .048 .033 -.095 .026 .003 1879 .151 .051 .034 -.088 .027 .003 1880 .168 .055 .035 -.065 .028 .003 1881 .183 .058 .037 -.043 .029 .003 1882 .198 .062 .038 -.038 .030 .003 1883 .211 .065 .039 -.031 .030 .003 1884 .221 .069 .040 -.051 .031 .003 1885 .231 .072 .041 -.076 .032 .003 1886 .244 .076 .042 -.110 .033 .003 1887 .250 .079 .044 -.124 .034 .004 1888 .253 .083 .045 -.132 .035 .004 1889 .258 .086 .046 -.136 .036 .004 1890 .264 .090 .047 -.126 .037 .004 1891 .270 .093 .048 -.084 .038 .004 1892 .277 .097 .050 -.065 .039 .004 1893 .276 .100 .051 -.039 .040 .004 1894 .280 .104 .052 -.020 .041 .004 1895 .282 .107 .053 -.037 .042 .005 1896 .286 .111 .054 -.067 .042 .005 1897 .288 .114 .055 -.095 .043 .005 1898 .290 .118 .057 -.103 .044 .005 1899 .300 .121 .058 -.113 .045 .005 1900 .311 .125 .059 -.117 .046 .005 1901 .325 .127 .060 -.123 .047 .006 1902 .336 .129 .061 -.113 .047 .006 1903 .348 .132 .063 -.073 .048 .006 1904 .363 .134 .064 -.026 .048 .006 1905 .376 .136 .065 -.055 .049 .007 1906 .389 .138 .066 -.023 .049 .007 1907 .400 .140 .067 -.047 .050 .007 1908 .415 .143 .068 -.042 .050 .007 1909 .428 .145 .070 -.065 .051 .008 1910 .440 .147 .071 -.087 .052 .008 1911 .454 .149 .072 -.097 .052 .008 1912 .467 .151 .073 -.099 .053 .009 1913 .477 .154 .074 -.091 .053 .009 1914 .484 .156 .076 -.077 .054 .009 1915 .492 .158 .077 -.028 .054 .010 1916 .505 .160 .078 .006 .055 .010 1917 .518 .162 .079 .027 .055 .010 1918 .532 .165 .080 .022 .056 .011 1919 .541 .167 .081 -.015 .056 .011 1920 .554 .169 .083 -.037 .057 .011 1921 .565 .171 .084 -.047 .057 .012 1922 .578 .173 .085 -.059 .058 .012 1923 .591 .176 .086 -.048 .058 .012 1924 .604 .178 .087 -.040 .059 .013 1925 .617 .180 .089 -.007 .060 .013 1926 .632 .181 .090 .010 .060 .013 1927 .646 .183 .091 .042 .060 .014 1928 .658 .184 .092 .022 .060 .014 1929 .674 .186 .093 .018 .060 .014 1930 .686 .187 .094 .022 .060 .015 1931 .701 .189 .096 .011 .061 .015 1932 .711 .190 .097 .000 .061 .015 1933 .728 .192 .098 -.016 .061 .016 1934 .741 .193 .099 .004 .061 .016 1935 .753 .195 .100 .037 .061 .016 1936 .765 .196 .102 .097 .061 .017 1937 .780 .198 .103 .083 .062 .017 1938 .792 .199 .104 .073 .062 .017 1939 .802 .201 .105 .073 .062 .018 1940 .806 .202 .106 .070 .062 .018 1941 .804 .204 .107 .069 .062 .018 1942 .802 .205 .109 .064 .063 .019 1943 .802 .207 .110 .049 .063 .019 1944 .801 .208 .111 .060 .063 .019 1945 .806 .210 .112 .102 .063 .020 1946 .813 .211 .113 .113 .063 .020 1947 .821 .213 .115 .148 .063 .020 1948 .828 .214 .116 .172 .064 .021 1949 .843 .216 .117 .157 .064 .021 1950 .857 .217 .118 .123 .064 .021 1951 .874 .223 .125 .087 .065 .022 1952 .888 .229 .132 .087 .067 .022 1953 .904 .235 .138 .064 .069 .023 1954 .925 .241 .145 .069 .070 .024 1955 .943 .248 .152 .086 .072 .024 1956 .962 .254 .159 .165 .073 .025 1957 .983 .260 .166 .219 .075 .025 1958 1.002 .266 .172 .215 .076 .026 1959 1.030 .272 .179 .178 .078 .027 1960 1.058 .278 .186 .165 .080 .028 1961 1.081 .286 .193 .108 .082 .028 1962 1.107 .294 .200 .076 .084 .029 1963 1.133 .301 .206 .068 .086 .030 1964 1.156 .309 .213 .071 .088 .031 1965 1.182 .317 .220 .081 .090 .031 1966 1.225 .325 .227 .114 .092 .032 1967 1.255 .333 .234 .147 .094 .033 1968 1.285 .340 .240 .159 .096 .034 1969 1.327 .348 .247 .174 .098 .035 1970 1.372 .356 .254 .172 .100 .036 1971 1.409 .360 .261 .123 .100 .037 1972 1.452 .365 .268 .129 .101 .038 1973 1.511 .369 .274 .085 .101 .039 1974 1.549 .374 .281 .073 .102 .040 1975 1.594 .378 .288 .046 .102 .041 1976 1.625 .382 .295 .068 .103 .042 1977 1.682 .387 .302 .100 .104 .043 1978 1.735 .391 .308 .168 .104 .044 1979 1.789 .396 .315 .222 .105 .045 1980 1.845 .400 .315 .224 .105 .046 1981 1.897 .413 .314 .230 .108 .047 1982 1.944 .426 .314 .163 .111 .048 1983 1.985 .438 .313 .152 .114 .049 1984 2.039 .451 .313 .092 .117 .050 1985 2.086 .464 .312 .069 .120 .051 1986 2.138 .477 .312 .068 .123 .052 1987 2.189 .490 .312 .092 .126 .053 1988 2.259 .502 .311 .134 .129 .053 1989 2.314 .515 .311 .219 .132 .054 1990 2.354 .528 .310 .205 .135 .054 1991 2.398 .528 .310 .187 .135 .055 1992 2.425 .528 .309 .168 .135 .056 1993 2.445 .528 .309 .128 .135 .056 1994 2.480 .528 .308 .093 .135 .056 1995 2.528 .528 .308 .078 .135 .057 1996 2.567 .528 .308 .064 .135 .057 1997 2.589 .528 .307 .084 .135 .057 1998 2.647 .528 .307 .139 .135 .058 1999 2.692 .528 .307 .182 .135 .058 2000 2.718 .528 .307 .224 .135 .058 2001 2.747 .528 .307 .205 .135 .058 2002 2.785 .528 .307 .187 .135 .058 2003 2.833 .528 .307 .168 .135 .058 ----------------------------------------------------------------- Negative Forcings --------------------------------------------- Year Strat.Aer Land Use Indir.AE Refl.TA --------------------------------------------- 1850 .000 .000 .000 .000 1851 .016 -.001 -.004 -.003 1852 .022 -.001 -.009 -.006 1853 .027 -.002 -.013 -.009 1854 .027 -.003 -.018 -.012 1855 .002 -.004 -.022 -.015 1856 -.455 -.004 -.026 -.018 1857 -.985 -.005 -.031 -.021 1858 -.909 -.006 -.035 -.024 1859 -.531 -.007 -.039 -.027 1860 -.181 -.007 -.044 -.030 1861 -.048 -.008 -.048 -.033 1862 -.146 -.008 -.053 -.036 1863 -.181 -.009 -.057 -.038 1864 -.117 -.010 -.061 -.041 1865 -.024 -.010 -.066 -.044 1866 .018 -.011 -.070 -.047 1867 .027 -.011 -.074 -.050 1868 .027 -.012 -.079 -.053 1869 .027 -.012 -.083 -.056 1870 .027 -.013 -.088 -.059 1871 .027 -.014 -.092 -.062 1872 .027 -.015 -.096 -.065 1873 .022 -.016 -.101 -.068 1874 .023 -.016 -.105 -.071 1875 .022 -.017 -.109 -.074 1876 -.034 -.018 -.115 -.079 1877 -.059 -.019 -.121 -.083 1878 -.049 -.020 -.127 -.088 1879 -.020 -.021 -.133 -.092 1880 .004 -.022 -.139 -.097 1881 .019 -.023 -.145 -.102 1882 .012 -.024 -.151 -.106 1883 -.666 -.024 -.157 -.111 1884 -2.095 -.025 -.163 -.115 1885 -1.956 -.026 -.169 -.120 1886 -1.365 -.027 -.175 -.125 1887 -.868 -.027 -.181 -.129 1888 -.637 -.028 -.187 -.134 1889 -.606 -.029 -.193 -.138 1890 -.715 -.030 -.199 -.143 1891 -.686 -.030 -.205 -.148 1892 -.550 -.031 -.211 -.152 1893 -.307 -.032 -.217 -.157 1894 -.123 -.032 -.223 -.161 1895 -.019 -.033 -.229 -.166 1896 -.166 -.034 -.235 -.171 1897 -.281 -.034 -.241 -.175 1898 -.279 -.035 -.247 -.180 1899 -.154 -.035 -.253 -.184 1900 -.044 -.036 -.259 -.189 1901 .011 -.037 -.263 -.194 1902 -.263 -.038 -.268 -.199 1903 -.986 -.039 -.273 -.203 1904 -.942 -.040 -.278 -.208 1905 -.583 -.041 -.283 -.213 1906 -.219 -.041 -.288 -.218 1907 -.131 -.042 -.292 -.223 1908 -.128 -.043 -.297 -.227 1909 -.085 -.044 -.302 -.232 1910 -.046 -.045 -.307 -.237 1911 -.011 -.046 -.312 -.242 1912 -.200 -.046 -.316 -.247 1913 -.378 -.047 -.321 -.251 1914 -.320 -.048 -.326 -.256 1915 -.161 -.048 -.331 -.261 1916 -.038 -.049 -.336 -.266 1917 .009 -.050 -.341 -.271 1918 .023 -.050 -.345 -.275 1919 .026 -.051 -.350 -.280 1920 -.073 -.052 -.355 -.285 1921 -.107 -.053 -.360 -.290 1922 -.057 -.054 -.365 -.295 1923 .000 -.055 -.369 -.299 1924 -.002 -.056 -.374 -.304 1925 -.011 -.057 -.379 -.309 1926 -.002 -.058 -.383 -.314 1927 .016 -.059 -.387 -.319 1928 -.021 -.061 -.391 -.324 1929 -.105 -.062 -.395 -.329 1930 -.104 -.063 -.399 -.333 1931 -.070 -.064 -.403 -.338 1932 -.091 -.064 -.407 -.343 1933 -.092 -.065 -.411 -.348 1934 -.053 -.066 -.415 -.353 1935 -.025 -.067 -.419 -.358 1936 -.004 -.067 -.423 -.363 1937 .000 -.068 -.427 -.368 1938 -.018 -.069 -.431 -.372 1939 -.020 -.070 -.435 -.377 1940 -.009 -.070 -.439 -.382 1941 .012 -.071 -.443 -.387 1942 -.013 -.071 -.447 -.392 1943 -.035 -.072 -.451 -.397 1944 -.024 -.072 -.455 -.402 1945 -.006 -.073 -.459 -.407 1946 .015 -.074 -.463 -.411 1947 .012 -.074 -.467 -.416 1948 .016 -.075 -.471 -.421 1949 .008 -.075 -.475 -.426 1950 .010 -.076 -.479 -.431 1951 .013 -.077 -.489 -.445 1952 -.006 -.079 -.499 -.460 1953 -.021 -.080 -.509 -.474 1954 -.030 -.082 -.518 -.488 1955 -.007 -.083 -.528 -.502 1956 .014 -.085 -.538 -.517 1957 .025 -.086 -.548 -.531 1958 .027 -.088 -.558 -.545 1959 .027 -.089 -.568 -.560 1960 -.013 -.091 -.578 -.574 1961 -.123 -.091 -.588 -.589 1962 -.228 -.092 -.597 -.604 1963 -.715 -.092 -.606 -.619 1964 -1.308 -.093 -.616 -.634 1965 -1.262 -.093 -.625 -.649 1966 -.858 -.094 -.634 -.664 1967 -.470 -.094 -.643 -.679 1968 -.483 -.095 -.653 -.694 1969 -.619 -.095 -.662 -.709 1970 -.508 -.096 -.671 -.724 1971 -.269 -.097 -.680 -.740 1972 -.086 -.098 -.688 -.757 1973 -.080 -.099 -.696 -.773 1974 -.175 -.099 -.704 -.790 1975 -.437 -.100 -.712 -.806 1976 -.392 -.101 -.720 -.823 1977 -.215 -.102 -.728 -.840 1978 -.116 -.103 -.736 -.856 1979 -.121 -.104 -.745 -.873 1980 -.086 -.105 -.753 -.889 1981 -.057 -.105 -.761 -.906 1982 -.692 -.105 -.770 -.924 1983 -1.284 -.105 -.778 -.941 1984 -1.072 -.106 -.786 -.959 1985 -.584 -.106 -.795 -.976 1986 -.297 -.106 -.803 -.993 1987 -.200 -.107 -.812 -1.011 1988 -.134 -.107 -.820 -1.028 1989 -.076 -.107 -.829 -1.046 1990 -.052 -.107 -.837 -1.063 1991 -.757 -.105 -.840 -1.063 1992 -1.837 -.106 -.843 -1.063 1993 -1.619 -.106 -.846 -1.063 1994 -.948 -.106 -.849 -1.063 1995 -.351 -.106 -.852 -1.063 1996 -.139 -.106 -.855 -1.063 1997 -.062 -.106 -.858 -1.063 1998 -.013 -.106 -.861 -1.063 1999 .014 -.106 -.864 -1.063 2000 .025 -.106 -.867 -1.063 2001 .027 -.106 -.870 -1.063 2002 .027 -.106 -.873 -1.063 2003 .027 -.106 -.876 -1.063 ---------------------------------------------